Our 2023 College Football review shows we had a good season. From the season’s 780 games, we went 417 wins and 363 losses against the spread (ATS) for a 53.5 win percentage. This is coming off last year when our record was 403 wins and 361 losses for a 52.7 win percentage. This gave us back-to-back winning seasons, picking every game in college football of head-to-head FBS matchups.
See the chart below where our 2023 college football season picks show after each week. We are not trying to hide any records from you to play the handicapper shell game.
2023 College Football Chart Displays Our Picks:
- Against the spread (ATS)
- Week by week through the season
- From Week 1 to Week 14, when the championship games are played
- And into the Bowl picks in place of Week 15
Against the Spread Review
We got off to a good start in Week Zero and Week One. But we took a dip in Week Two and Three. After that, we won the next six weeks of games straight in overall ATS picks. There was a slight hiccup in week Ten before closing the regular season out strong in weeks 11-13. There was a small sample size during championship week, and we went 4-7 ATS. But we went 4-1 in games involving the AP Top 10 teams that weekend by winning these match-ups:
- Alabama-Georgia
- Florida State-Louisville
- Oregon-Washington
- Texas-Oklahoma State
Why use our Service
It is all about what goes into our secret sauce that makes picks to beat the spread. Several thousand hours went into developing those winning algorithms. Gut-feeling bets or bets based on bits of information often seem right. Ultimately, these biased picks are more about ‘beauty is in the eyes of the beholder’ but don’t win the pick.
Our algorithms take this bias out of the picture, which lets an objective pick of the game come to light. Even the best handicapper working off instinct has trouble. They struggle to stay above 50/50 when picking every game in college football. Using our system as a baseline, one can layer on trends to help make picks. Starting with a baseline of 53.5% vs 50% on picking winners really adds up when trends are layered on top.
Emotion Is Not Objective
Emotional takes don’t make for good college football picks.
For example:
An unnamed competitor predicted Wyoming would blow out Toledo. Why? Because their quarterback was not playing.
Vs.
Our formula liked Toledo getting 3 points. Another example is the Orange Bowl between Georgia and Florida State.
What was the competitor handicapper take? It was that FSU had something to prove and to take the points in the match-up.
Vs.
Our internal algorithms did not show that to be the case, and we advised laying the points with Georgia.
People with an internal bias can always find reasons to justify their pick. Kind of like that friend of yours. You know, the one who will not see the flaws in their relationship partners even though you have pointed them out numerous times.
Bonus Information
Last year, we shared detailed information we had researched in the off-season. This year, we will share some excellent insights in our Monthly Newsletter. Sign-up now to receive it.
